Melbourne Real Estate News for February 2017 – An experienced Buyers’ Agent and Property Manager’s perspective.
In this Issue:
- State of the Market
- REIV Concerns with the Government Residential Tenancies Act Review
- REIV Market Wrap – LATEST SALES & AUCTION RESULTS
- Interest Rates: RBA delivers Cash Rate announcement
- REIV MONTHLY RESEARCH BULLETIN
- Pain and Gain September Quarter Core Logic RP Data
- National Media Release Core Logic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index
- HOUSING AFFORDABILITY REPORT DECEMBER
- Monthly Housing & Economic Chart Pack
- API State of the Market – Residential Overview
- High Rise Southbank – Crown Casino Development – James Packer’s Crown to build Melbourne’s tallest tower
- Property Buyer Expo Melbourne February 2017
State of the Market
The Melbourne real estate market has experienced exceptional growth during the last 24 months and a strong end to 2016 which continued into 2017. Capital Growth achieved in most Melbourne suburbs 10km to 30km radius of the CBD, between 10% to 17%, which was predicted to slow down or come to an end throughout 2017, though recent private sale, auction and off-market sales results in January and February of 2017 has demonstrated that Melbourne is still performing consistently well with strong demand.
At Master Advocates we have experienced an increase of interstate investors buying in Melbourne, many coming from Sydney as well as Expat investors. Auction Season 2017 has kicked off – Master Advocates are having wins for our investor clients and on top of the market forces and current legislative reviews.
Since the beginning of 2017 we have already assisted in the search, assessment, due diligence, negotiation and purchase of several investment properties for our clients via Private Sale, Off-Market, Boardroom Auction and some target properties scheduled for Public Auction this weekend.
The market can experience high demand coming back from the festive with the first official round of auctions in February and the fact that quality property listings are still low compared to levels of demand across Melbourne “The World’s Most Liveable City”. Though our Master Advocates prediction is that property listings for sale will increase moderately within inner Melbourne during 2017, providing more choice for investment grade property and owner occupying buyers, the Capital Growth rate will reduce slightly to a more sustainable and reasonable level between 8% to 10% within 10km to 30km of the Melbourne CBD. Beyond this as the Reserve Bank Interest rate remains at an all time low, borrowing money to buy property has never been cheaper, with the noticeable increase of investors in the Melbourne market, equally Rental Yields have remained low.
The major banks are continuously reviewing there lending terms and conditions with strict consideration when assessing LVR (Loan to Value Ratio), serviceability for repayments, equity and security requirements and deposits required by buyers. One of the banks main objectives for this is to minimise the lending institutions risk to investors in residential and commercial real estate as well as lending to builders and developers for prospective projects. This can eliminate pre-approval and lending capabilities for many investors, limiting their ability to purchase and compete for the right property.
For our clients and investors who are established with deposits of at least 10%, consistent sources of income to service loan repayments and equity or security in other property investments, the current market and lending conditions may provide an edge above competitors in the real estate and lending market to secure investment property as a means to build investment portfolio wealth and future passive income with strong growth and equity. Seeking the services of an experienced and independent Mortgage Broker to obtain an updated assessment of your financial position and lending capabilities for property investment is a great idea in the current market.
Conducting your own research and attempting to negotiate the best terms and price on a property purchase is one method of acquiring investment property wealth. Alternatively enlisting the services of an experienced professional Buyers Agent who is a Licensed Estate Agent and accredited with their relevant state real estate associations is a great way to advance your progress with investing in property and maximise your opportunity for the best property selection, independent appraisal of purchase and leasing estimates, Capital Growth and Rental Yield, value add potential and ultimately to save you time, money and stress when negotiating the best price, terms and conditions via Private Sale, Auction or Off-Market methods.
Investors edge, this month’s housing market update, covering the latest housing and economic data nationally, as well as capital city splits.
This month’s update includes data and information provided by Core Logic Research Director Tim Lawless.
“We are already into the second month of the New Year and Core Logic figures show that housing market trends have continued on from the strong finish to 2016, posting a 0.7% rise in capital city dwelling values over the first month of the year.
Every capital city apart from Darwin recorded a rise in dwelling values based on the hedonic index results for January. Additionally, the results over the rolling quarter showed every capital city, including Perth and Darwin, recorded some upwards movement in values.”
REIV Concerns with the Government Residential Tenancies Act Review
Give your landlords a voice on proposed RTA changes.
Responses due by Friday, 17 February.
Further to the call to action from REIV last week which was circulated to our investor clients and landlords this is follow up reminder notice to have your say on the proposed RTA changes.
Notice to all Residential Property Investors/Landlords:
Please find attached letter from the Real Estate Institute of Victoria in relation to proposed changes to the Residential Tenancy Act that will affect you as a landlord. Please read the changes carefully as these changes are positively geared toward tenants.
If you would like to discuss these changes and how they will affect you as a landlord and investor, please feel free to contact Mark Errichiello on 0408 988 118 as he is a Residential Tenancy Property Management expert with 20 years experience. He is also an REIV Members Council Delegate, a Buyers Agent Chapter Committee Member and is happy to assist.
REIV Market Wrap – LATEST SALES & AUCTION RESULTS – MON 30TH JAN – SUN 5TH FEB
REIV Market Wrap
A clearance rate of 80 per cent was recorded this week compared to 78 per cent last week and 74 per cent this week last year. There were 510 auctions reported to the REIV, with 410 selling and 100 being passed in, 35 of those on a vendor bid. The REIV collected 96% of auction results last week with a total of 547 results including 17 withdrawn and 20 postponed.
VIC AUCTION RESULTS
Clearance Rate: 80%
Reported Auctions: 510
Last week: 268
This week last year: 536
Sold prior to auction: 77
Sold at auction: 333
Sold after auction: 0
Passed in: 100
Passed on vendor’s bid: 35
No result: 25
Total Volume: $298.37mil
Private Sales: 329
Total Volume: $204.43mil
Total Auction Houses: 329
Clearance Rate: 81%
Median Price : $722,500
Top 5 Houses
40 Kinnoull Gr GLEN WAVERLEY $2,880,000
28 Maysia St CANTERBURY $2,300,000
200 South Rd BRIGHTON EAST $1,920,000
7 Cloris Av BEAUMARIS $1,910,000
80 Alfrieda St ST ALBANS $1,810,000
Top 5 Bargain Houses
18 Tennyson St NORLANE $255,000
71 Nicholson Cr BELL PARK $280,000
35 Portland St NORLANE $287,500
1 Allowah Ct NORLANE $289,000
58 Littlewood Dr FYANSFORD $290,000
Interest Rates: RBA delivers Cash Rate announcement Tuesday, 07 February 2017
The RBA Board have today decided to keep the interest rates as is at 1.50%.
Conditions in the global economy have improved over recent months. Business and consumer confidence have both picked up. Above-trend growth is expected in a number of advanced economies, although uncertainties remain. In China, growth was stronger over the second half of 2016, supported by higher spending on infrastructure and property construction. This composition of growth and the rapid increase in borrowing mean that the medium-term risks to Chinese growth remain. The improvement in the global economy has contributed to higher commodity prices, which are providing a boost to Australia’s national income.
Headline inflation rates have moved higher in most countries, partly reflecting the higher commodity prices. Long-term bond yields have also moved higher, although in a historical context they remain low. Interest rates have increased in the United States and there is no longer an expectation of further monetary easing in other major economies. Financial markets have been functioning effectively and stock markets have mostly risen.
In Australia, the economy is continuing its transition following the end of the mining investment boom. GDP was weaker than expected in the September quarter, largely reflecting temporary factors. A return to reasonable growth is expected in the December quarter.
REIV MONTHLY RESEARCH BULLETIN DECEMBER 2016 – JANUARY 2017
Following the Reserve Bank meeting in February, the cash rate was left unchanged at 1.5 per cent. The chance of a rate cut to 1.25 per cent in March was at 5.0 per cent as of 13 February according to the ASX RBA Rate indicator. The 2016 year finished strongly with a record 3,871 auctions held, and a 76 per cent clearance rate in December, compared to 3,804 auctions in December 2015. The local government areas of Darebin (206 auctions), Monash (194 auctions), Boroondara (189 auctions) and Moreland (188 auctions) had the highest number of auctions in December 2016, with Monash reporting a clearance rate of 85 per cent. There were about 39,100 auctions held in Victoria in 2016 with 75 per cent selling. The middle Melbourne region recorded the highest number of properties sold by auction in 2016, with around 11,900 sales, and a clearance rate of 77 per cent.
Victoria’s vacancy rate stands at 2.4 per cent in January 2017. The weekly median rent for houses in metropolitan Melbourne rose to $436 in January supported by solid increases in middle Melbourne. In regional Victoria, the weekly median rent for houses remained at $310 per week in January. The weekly median rent for units rose slightly in metropolitan Melbourne to $405 per week while the median rent for units in regional Victoria fell by 1.0 per cent to $260 per week.
What is a median price?
The median price is the middle price in a series of sales. For example, if 15 sales are recorded in a suburb and arranged in order from the lowest to the highest value, the eighth sale price is the median price. In the case where there is an even number of sales in a series, the median is the average of the middle two prices.
Why do you use median prices?
Median prices are used rather than average prices because median prices are unaffected by a few unusually high or low prices, making them a more accurate indicator of true market activity.
Median prices are a guide to market activity, and the REIV does not intend for median price measures to be regarded as a valuation tool. The assessment of a property’s value is a job for a qualified professional who possesses the knowledge, experience and comparable sales information required to do so.
Read more about median prices: dec-q-2016-general-release-website
Pain and Gain September Quarter, 2016 – Core Logic RP Data
A quarterly assessment of realised gross profit and loss based on dwelling re-sales over the September Quarter of 2016
View the complete Pain and Gain September Quarter , 2016 – Core Login RP Data: 2017-0-31-cl_pain_and_gain_report
National Media Release Core Logic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index, January 2017 Results
Strong start to 2017 as dwelling values rise across seven of Australia’s eight capital cities in January CoreLogic Home Value Index results out today for January confirmed capital city dwelling values posted a 0.7% rise across the combined capital city regions with Hobart, Sydney and Melbourne leading the monthly gains.
View the complete media release: 2017-02-home_value_index_report
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY REPORT DECEMBER 2016 – Core Logic RP Data
Approaching its five year anniversary, the current upswing in housing values has shown unprecedented longevity. The past five years has seen national dwelling prices rise by 19%, while simultaneously, modelled income estimates from the ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods (ANU) suggest household incomes rose by just 9.2%.
Monthly Housing & Economic Chart Pack, February 2017 – Core Logic RP Data
Residential real estate underpins Australia’s wealth and has reached a portfolio value of $6.9 trillion.
Residential Real Estate $6.9 Trillion
Australian Superannuation $2.1 Trillion
Australian Listed Stocks $1.7 Trillion
Commercial Real Estate $0.922 Trillion
Dwelling values increased by 0.7% in January taking values 10.7% higher over the past year
Combined capital city dwelling values increased by 0.7% in January 2017 with values higher across all capital cities except for Darwin
Home values were 2.3% higher over the three months to January 2017 with values rising across all capital cities over the period
Dwelling values increased by 10.7% over the 12 months to January 2017
Across the individual capital cities, the annual change in home values have been recorded at +16.0% in Sydney, +11.8% in Melbourne, +4.4% in Brisbane, +4.8% in Adelaide, -3.2% in Perth, +7.8% in Hobart, -0.7% in Darwin and +6.7% in Canberra
House values across the combined capital cities increased by 11.1% over the year compared to an 8.0% increase in unit values.
API – Charter Keck Cramer – State of the Market – Residential Overview
Drivers of Housing Demand
Housing markets traditionally driven by fundamental factors:
- Economic & employment: Stable (benign)
- Population growth & household formation: Strong
- Policy: Interest rates favourable
- New housing is becoming an INTERNATIONAL financial commodity
- Greenfields likely to be next frontier for INTERNATIONAL investment
Positive Local drivers increasingly supplemented by International factors
- Population Growth – Melbourne exceeding forecasts
- Strong economies underpin solid property markets – Melbourne housing market continues to be well supported
- Higher Education – Australia remains attractive to international students
Hotspots and Opportunities
Structural factors will drive next round of outperformers
- Prices already look fully capitalised in Melbourne
- Regional cities tend to lag metro performance
- Need to consider “Value Buying” strategies
- Need to consider Total Returns vs just Capital growth in lower growth environment
- Future benefits of infrastructure changes look to be already capitalised
Apartments – Current Issues
Lots of noise and misinformation clouding the outlook
- Apartments OR Units?
- Supply = Approvals OR Releases OR Completions?
- Building OR Planning Approvals?
- Oversupply OR Unprecedented supply?
- Settlement crisis OR Restrictive lending?
- Withdrawn OR Abandoned projects?
- Structural vs Cyclical demand?
- Demand – Purchaser OR Occupier?
- Prices OR Values?
- New OR Established market?
High Rise Southbank – Crown Casino Development – James Packer’s Crown to build Melbourne’s tallest tower
Casino mogul James Packer’s Crown Resorts has been given the green light to build Melbourne’s tallest tower, a $2 billion hotel and apartment complex, after the state government exempted it from normal planning rules.
The granting of approval for the 323-metre tower is a major win for Mr Packer, whose Consolidated Press Holdings owns 48.2 per cent of Crown Resorts, and Crown’s joint venture partner Schiavello, founded by furniture maker-turned-developer Tony Schiavello.
Property Buyer Expo – Melbourne – Friday 24th to Sunday 26th, February 2017
The Melbourne Property Buyer Expo is on next Friday 24th of Feb to Sunday 26th of Feb.
Hot Speakers. Hot Topics. Hot Opportunities.
Date: Friday 24 – Sunday 26 February 2017
Time: 10am – 5pm
Tickets: $20 per person, per day or $50 for all 3 days (Use the free ticket code below before they run out)
Venue: Melbourne Convention & Exhibition Centre
As Accredited VIC Members of (REBAA) and CEA (REIV) Members, Master Advocates have secured the free ticket code for our clients and followers, compliments of the event manager.
Jump on the web link to secure a free ticket (code: EXPOVIP1) This gives you a free 3 day pass option, you can secure multiple tickets.
Our Director and Principal Buyers Agent, Mark Errichiello be there on the Friday and Sunday as a real estate industry stage host interviewing some of the guest speakers.
Should you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact Mark on 0408 988 118 or firstname.lastname@example.org.